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MB778826
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Black Walnut Cafe

23233 CINCO RANCH BLVD # 100, Katy, TX 77494 · TABC MB778826

Mixed Beverage Katy Market Enriched 2026-07-10
$282,349 Annual gross (L12M) ▲ 18.8% latest MoM Click for monthly detail
$23,529 Avg monthly ▲ 41.7% latest vs avg Click for monthly detail
~28% Est. net margin (likely) $78,775/yr est. net Click for cost model
$197k–$276k Est. acquisition range 0.84× annual gross (blended) Click for valuation methods
Liquor sales only — total revenue is higher
Every dollar on this page comes from Mixed Beverage Gross Receipts filings — the alcohol portion of total sales. For a Coffee Shop, liquor is typically only 10–25% of total business revenue. Mostly non-alcohol; small bar program. Estimated total revenue (rough): $1,129,396 – $2,823,490/year. Treat the valuation below as a screening estimate based on the alcohol portion alone.
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Executive Summary

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Black Walnut Cafe is a mixed-beverage licensed establishment at 23233 CINCO RANCH BLVD # 100, Katy, Texas (TABC MB778826). Over the most recent 12 months it reported $282,349 in gross alcohol sales, averaging $23,529/month with a best month of $33,347. Sales mix: ~44% liquor · 8% beer · 48% wine. Applying Texas bar cost benchmarks yields an estimated annual net of approximately $78,775 (~28% margin). Acquisition value is estimated at $197k–$276k across revenue-multiple, SDE-multiple, and cap-rate methods. All revenue figures are gross mixed-beverage receipts as filed with the Texas Comptroller; they exclude cash income such as cover charges, game machines, or merchandise.

Sales performance · last 12 months

Texas Comptroller mixed-beverage gross receipts actual

Annual gross
$282,349
Avg monthly
$23,529
Best month
$33,347
May 2026
Sales mix
44% Liq
8% Beer · 48% Wine

Property & occupancy

County public records + submarket comps

Detailed property records not available for this location. Occupancy below uses submarket heuristics only.

Estimated occupancy heuristic

Est. base rent (10.5% of gross)$2,471/mo
NNN CAM / insurance$371/mo
Total occupancy$2,941/mo

Note

County property records couldn't be matched to this address. Occupancy is modeled from a revenue-based heuristic and is less accurate than a direct property record match.

Profit scenarios

Texas bar cost model applied to $282,349 gross revenue estimated

Best Case
No kitchen, efficient staffing, favorable lease
~37%
Revenue$282,349
COGS (24%)−$67,764
Labor (14%)−$39,529
Occupancy−$31,764
TX MB gross tax (6.7%)−$18,917
Utilities / ins / mktg (8%)−$22,588
Card surcharge net+$3,106
Net profit $104,893
Most Likely
Typical bar, light food program, full two-shift staffing
~28%
Revenue$282,349
COGS (27%)−$76,234
Labor (17%)−$47,999
Occupancy−$35,294
TX MB gross tax (6.7%)−$18,917
Utilities / ins / mktg (10%)−$28,235
Card surcharge net+$3,106
Net profit $78,775
Stressed
Heavy food, larger crew, higher rent
~17%
Revenue$282,349
COGS (30%)−$84,705
Labor (22%)−$62,117
Occupancy−$38,823
TX MB gross tax (6.7%)−$18,917
Utilities / ins / mktg (12%)−$33,882
Card surcharge net+$3,106
Net profit $47,011
Disclaimer: Revenue is mixed-beverage gross receipts from the Texas Comptroller — it does not include cash income like door charges, game machines, merchandise, or event rentals (which can add 10–25% for nightclubs). Cost ratios are industry benchmarks for Texas MB-permit bars. Rent is estimated from submarket comps; property tax is from county public records pro-rated by square footage. Actual profit depends on lease terms, staffing, owner salary, and one-time costs.

Owner income estimator

Split likely net profit across ownership estimated

TABC licensee Woodlands Hospitality Group LLC looking up officers…
3
Equal split (50% each)
Based on the "Most Likely" scenario net profit of $78,775/year. Actual owner income depends on salary draws, distributions, debt service, and tax structure. Consult an accountant for actual income projections.

Acquisition value estimate

Based on most-likely scenario (~$78,775 net) estimated

Revenue multiple
$141k–$226k
0.5–0.8× gross
SDE multiple
$197k–$276k
2.5–3.5× earnings
Cap rate
$239k–$315k
25–33%
Suggested range
$197k–$276k
blended estimate
The numbers above are liquor-only: bar-style multiples applied to mixed-beverage receipts. They're the right answer for a pure bar/lounge — but for a restaurant, this is just one slice of total enterprise value (the bar program). See the food-business estimate below.
Full-business estimate · Coffee Shop

If you're buying the whole restaurant, not just the bar program

We estimate this coffee shop pulls $1,129,396–$2,823,490/yr in total revenue (your liquor portion of $282,349 is roughly 10–25% of the total per industry benchmarks). Applied to that estimated total: revenue multiple 0.30–0.50×, net margin 10–15%, SDE multiple 2.5–4.0× (restaurant comps, not bar comps).

Estimated total revenue
$1,129k–$2,823k
food + liquor + service
Estimated net (10–15%)
$113k–$424k
restaurant margin
Full-business value
$311k–$1,553k
blended rev × SDE

Confidence on this estimate is lower than the liquor-only valuation above — we're inferring food revenue from category averages, not from this specific operator's books. A serious buyer should request actual P&Ls + a Schedule C / 1120S.

Federal court history

Public records · last checked 2026-06-01

Lookup pending — check back tomorrow

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